ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 40d ago
Will Apple release another iOS beta before August?
Final price
53.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.4%.
- Final market price
- 53.4%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 53.4%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Apple release another iOS beta before August? The final Manifold price was 53.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 26, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ46.1
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 53.4%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
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