Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Final market price
- 54.8%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027? The final Manifold price was 54.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Market data as of
- October 11, 2026 at 7:24 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 10d ago
What this market actually measures
As far as I know, there is no confirmation on where it will take place or if it is happening at all. Will resolve once the schedule officially releases.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
As far as I know, there is no confirmation on where it will take place or if it is happening at all. Will resolve once the schedule officially releases. If it's subbed in for a canceled round, that doesn't count. If a round partially takes place in USA (i.e. Canada + USA or Mexico + USA) that will also count. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the official FIA World Rally Championship (WRC) calendar for the 2027 season includes a scheduled round to be held in the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Source of Truth: The official schedule approved by the FIA World Motor Sport Council and published on the official WRC website or the FIA website. Exclusions: If a US round is only introduced as a substitution or replacement for a canceled event after the initial schedule is finalized, it will not count for a YES resolution. The round must be part of the officially announced calendar for the 2027 season. Resolution Timing: This market will resolve once the official 2027 WRC calendar is formally announced and published. If no official calendar has been released by December 31, 2027, the market will resolve based on whether a US-based WRC round was actually held during the 2027 calendar year. Background The United States has not hosted a round of the World Rally Championship since the Olympus Rally in Washington state in 1988. Momentum for a return has grown, centered on the Chattanooga-based "Rally USA" project with gravel stages planned across Tennessee and Kentucky. An official FIA Candidate Event was held from June 11–17, 2026, to assess the organizers' readiness in sporting, safety, and medical operations. This trial is the key precursor to securing a formal slot on the 2027 WRC calendar, which is expected to be officially released by the FIA. This description was generated by AI.