Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.4%.
- Final market price
- 12.4%
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8? The final Manifold price was 12.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.4%.
- Market data as of
- September 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
What this market actually measures
With the upcoming Nintendo Direct on September 8th, 2026, Nintendo may announce the development of a new Super Smash Bros game for the Nintendo Switch 2 console. Historically, there has been a new Smash Bros game for every mainline Nintendo console since the first Smash game for the Nintendo 64.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
With the upcoming Nintendo Direct on September 8th, 2026, Nintendo may announce the development of a new Super Smash Bros game for the Nintendo Switch 2 console. Historically, there has been a new Smash Bros game for every mainline Nintendo console since the first Smash game for the Nintendo 64.