ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago
does 2 + 2 = 4
Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
does 2 + 2 = 4 The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 4, 2026 at 8:49 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 45d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ936.1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ936.1
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 99.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 4, 2026
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