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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago

does 2 + 2 = 4

Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Final market price
99.0%
Event deadline
August 4, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

does 2 + 2 = 4 The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Market data as of
August 4, 2026 at 8:49 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 4, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
45d ago

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ936.1

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ936.1

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
99.0%
Resolves
Aug 4, 2026

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