Daily Coinflip
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 51.0%.
- Final market price
- 51.0%
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Daily Coinflip The final Manifold price was 51.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 51.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 5, 2026 at 1:11 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 16, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
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This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
! Block #DailyCoinflip to stop seeing these ! Yes = heads No = tails (Day 530) Current totals: 275 heads vs 254 tails Longest streaks: 10 heads (days 12-22); 9 tails (days 479-488) Yesterday’s flip: Heads @FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome 1 = heads 2 = tails Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing Noteworthy Gamblers: Longest win streak: @Skyguy (of 7) Longest loss streak: @QuestionableQuentin (of 11) Biggest win: @evan (of Ṁ109,593 profit on day 329) Biggest loss: @JannesH (of -Ṁ63,765 on day 367) Most flips: [Submit a comment or DM to be featured] Contingencies: Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests (one over here > one on the testing market), I will manually resolve it according to a Google coinflip (outcome is final). Should I fail to generate and/or resolve the outcome within a week after the market’s close, a mod may do so instead.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1.1K
Liquidity
Ṁ10K
Total volume
Ṁ2.6K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 51.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 1, 2026