Will the U.S. formally eliminate the tariff on Irish whiskey by October 31, 2026?

On September 13, 2026, at the trophy ceremony for the Amgen Irish Open at his Doonbeg course in County Clare, President Trump said he plans to remove the 10% U.S. tariff currently applied to Irish whiskey. Irish whiskey is subject to the 10% duty on most EU imports, which was cut from 15% to 10% in July 2026. This market is not about whether he said it. It is about whether the statement becomes a published legal instrument before the end of October. RESOLVES YES if, on or before 23:59 ET on October 31, 2026, a U.S. government action eliminating the additional/reciprocal tariff on Irish whiskey has been published or made effective, evidenced by at least one of: a notice in the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) modifying the HTSUS so that Irish whiskey (HTS 2208.30) imported from the EU enters at a 0% additional/reciprocal duty rate; an Executive Order or Presidential Proclamation published on whitehouse.gov with that effect; a CBP CSMS message (cbp.gov) instructing filers that the additional duty no longer applies to that classification. An EU-wide or all-spirits action counts, provided Irish whiskey is covered. A reduction that does not reach 0% additional duty does NOT count. RESOLVES NO if none of the above has happened by the deadline. EXPLICITLY DOES NOT COUNT: statements, press conferences, social-media posts, "plans to", readouts, joint statements, agreements in principle, framework announcements, or reporting of intent - from any official, including the President. Only a published instrument or an effective CBP instruction counts. Resolution is from the named sources above, not from my judgment. If sources conflict, the Federal Register controls. If a qualifying instrument is published on or before the deadline but takes effect after it, that counts as YES (publication is the trigger).