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This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 98.0%.
Ethereum price at Aug 4, 2026 at 8pm EDT? The final Kalshi price was 98.0%. This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 98.0%.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 8 PM EDT is between 1865-1869.99 at 8 PM EDT on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.
Low resolution risk: clear source, threshold, and deadline leave little room for ambiguity.
How clear the contract wording is — separate from whether the price is trustworthy.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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