KalshiCryptoUpdated 8m ago

Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Market probability

1.5%

−0.5 percentage points

over 24 hours2.0% → 1.5%

Less than a day until the event deadline

Deadline: August 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Too little market data to assess this move — treat the probability with caution.

This venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.

How credible was the move?

Three separate questions — a move can be genuine while the latest price is still settling. Methodology →

Move validity

Is the move backed by real trading and depth?

Insufficient data

This venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.

Consensus stability

Has the market settled at the new probability?

Forming

Movement has slowed (0.5 points over six hours) but the market has not fully settled.

Contract clarity

Will the rules resolve without ambiguity?

High

The resolution rules are relatively specific, with a named source and a defined deadline.

What this market actually measures

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2570-2609.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2570-2609.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution source: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERT…

What could move this market next?

The market's deadline arrivesAugust 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
The contract must resolve based on what has happened by this date.

Derived from the contract's own mechanics as of Aug 25, 4:57 PM ET. ProbCast does not list scheduled meetings, announcements, or data releases it cannot verify.

Advanced analysis (experimental)

Research signals — these models are still accumulating the history needed for full validation, and they can disagree with the headline read. Model confidence: low · expected error ±27 pts.

Resolving soonLegacy movement classifier: watch

What's happening

high classifier confidence

Resolving soon

Near resolution or with ambiguous wording, pricing is mechanically thin and can swing on tiny trades. Read end-of-life prices with extra caution.

Market data

24h volume

$683

Liquidity

Total volume