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US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?17%▲6.0Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?12%▼7.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?10%▼23.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▲6.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?37%▲2.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?10%▼11.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?20%▲3.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?60%▲7.5Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?36%▼4.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?56%▼6.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?6%▲2.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?83%▲2.0Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?13%▼2.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?24%▼4.6Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?52%▼4.0Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?37%▼35.7
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?17%▲6.0Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?12%▼7.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?10%▼23.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▲6.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?37%▲2.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?10%▼11.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?20%▲3.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?60%▲7.5Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?36%▼4.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?56%▼6.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?6%▲2.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?83%▲2.0Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?13%▼2.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?24%▼4.6Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?52%▼4.0Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?37%▼35.7

Event · resolves around 2027-07-31

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2027

2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Bitcoin below 50k before July 2027?ManifoldCrypto40%-10.5 ptsṀ336.6584Likely noise
Bitcoin above 100k before July 2027?ManifoldCrypto49%+1.3 ptsṀ254419Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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