Event · resolves around 2027-07-31
Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2027
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Bitcoin below 50k before July 2027? | Manifold | 40% | -10.5 pts | 4 | Likely noise |
| Bitcoin above 100k before July 2027? | Manifold | 49% | +1.3 pts | 19 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.