Event · resolves around 2026-10-08
Bitcoin — price targets · Oct 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $29.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? | Polymarket | 95% | 0.0 pts | 45 | Developing |
| Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $99.50 on October 8, 2026? | Manifold | 17% | -7.3 pts | 25 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.