ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?27%▼16.7Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?5%▼35.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?9%▼13.3Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?17%▼25.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?5%▼7.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?28%▼14.0Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?57%▲0.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?25%▼11.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?45%▼14.5Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?13%▼14.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?4%▼7.9Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?89%▲34.1Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?12%▼11.0Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?0%▼17.9Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?3%▼6.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?70%▲2.0
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?27%▼16.7Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?5%▼35.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?9%▼13.3Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?17%▼25.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?5%▼7.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?28%▼14.0Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?57%▲0.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?25%▼11.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?45%▼14.5Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?13%▼14.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?4%▼7.9Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?89%▲34.1Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?12%▼11.0Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?0%▼17.9Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?3%▼6.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?70%▲2.0

Event · resolves around 2026-08-29

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $126.5K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29?PolymarketCrypto100%+0.1 pts$63.4K7866Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?PolymarketCrypto100%+0.2 pts$63.1K7965Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCryptoMacro / FedPoliticsAI / TechGeopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]