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Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?42%▼20.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?47%▲12.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?20%▼13.5Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?59%▲5.2Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?19%▼5.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?32%▼15.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?0%▼35.2Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?18%▼14.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?25%▲5.8Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?12%▼7.6Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?82%▲15.0Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?32%▲1.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?9%▼7.5Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?13%▼5.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?32%▼1.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?14%▼5.0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?42%▼20.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?47%▲12.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?20%▼13.5Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?59%▲5.2Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?19%▼5.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?32%▼15.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?0%▼35.2Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?18%▼14.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?25%▲5.8Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?12%▼7.6Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?82%▲15.0Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?32%▲1.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?9%▼7.5Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?13%▼5.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?32%▼1.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?14%▼5.0

Event · resolves around 2026-08-25

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $187.1K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?PolymarketCrypto100%+0.1 pts$74.6K7967Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?PolymarketCrypto99%0.0 pts$56.5K7867Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?PolymarketCrypto100%0.0 pts$56K7967Developing
Will the close price of alphabet over $345ManifoldMacro / Fed64%+14.0 ptsṀ48.4450Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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