⌘K

Checking…

Hot Markets

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲60.5 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?3%▼17.0 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?1%▼16.8 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?71%▲21.5 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?3%▼15.7 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?97%▲21.8 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?28%▼2.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?7%▲2.3 Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?75%▲34.6 Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?74%▲4.1 Will Portugal win against Croatia?61%▼7.5 Will GPT-5.6-Sol score at least 59 on the Artificial Analysis Index?74%▲16.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲1.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼1.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?100%▲5.0 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲60.5 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?3%▼17.0 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?1%▼16.8 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?71%▲21.5 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?3%▼15.7 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?97%▲21.8 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?28%▼2.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?7%▲2.3 Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?75%▲34.6 Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?74%▲4.1 Will Portugal win against Croatia?61%▼7.5 Will GPT-5.6-Sol score at least 59 on the Artificial Analysis Index?74%▲16.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲1.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼1.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?100%▲5.0

Loading dashboard…

⌘K

Checking…

Hot Markets

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲60.5 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?3%▼17.0 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?1%▼16.8 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?71%▲21.5 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?3%▼15.7 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?97%▲21.8 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?28%▼2.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?7%▲2.3 Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?75%▲34.6 Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?74%▲4.1 Will Portugal win against Croatia?61%▼7.5 Will GPT-5.6-Sol score at least 59 on the Artificial Analysis Index?74%▲16.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲1.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼1.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?100%▲5.0 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲60.5 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?3%▼17.0 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?1%▼16.8 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?71%▲21.5 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?3%▼15.7 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?97%▲21.8 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?28%▼2.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?7%▲2.3 Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?75%▲34.6 Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?74%▲4.1 Will Portugal win against Croatia?61%▼7.5 Will GPT-5.6-Sol score at least 59 on the Artificial Analysis Index?74%▲16.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%▲1.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼1.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?18%▼1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?100%▲5.0

Event · resolves around 2026-07-02

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2026

7 related contracts across Polymarket · $1.2M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	1%	+0.1 pts	$268.9K	83	68	Worth watching
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+5.0 pts	$241.6K	83	58	Real move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+0.4 pts	$151.3K	82	68	Worth watching
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	7%	+2.3 pts	$151K	81	34	Likely noise
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+2.0 pts	$142.9K	81	64	Worth watching
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+0.1 pts	$139.2K	83	70	Worth watching
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?	Polymarket	Crypto	97%	+21.8 pts	$123.3K	81	32	Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.