Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?41%1.0Portugal leading at halftime?0%57.4Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?90%50.1Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?100%57.1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%1.0Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?9%5.7Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?64%5.5Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 5%6.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?22%4.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.5Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%0.2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?0%0.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?100%0.3 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?41%1.0Portugal leading at halftime?0%57.4Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?90%50.1Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?100%57.1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?81%1.0Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?9%5.7Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?64%5.5Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 5%6.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?22%4.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.5Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%0.2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?0%0.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?100%0.3

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