Event · resolves around 2026-11-04
Troy Jackson — election · Nov 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine? | ManifoldPlay money | 60% | +1.6 pts | 42 | Developing |
| Will control of the House and Senate be called by midnight (PT) on election night in the 2026 US Midterms? | ManifoldPlay money | 43% | 0.0 pts | 44 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.