Event · resolves around 2026-11-04
Steve Hilton — election · Nov 2026
3 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $16.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 5% | -0.2 pts | 67 | Developing |
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? (Polymarket) | Manifold | 23% | -1.8 pts | 31 | Developing |
| Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections? | Manifold | 39% | -0.2 pts | 44 | Developing |
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