Event · resolves around 2026-11-03
Darline Graham — election · Nov 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Darline Graham get 50.000% or more of the vote in the 2026 Senate election in South Carolina? | Manifold | 67% | -4.5 pts | 32 | Developing |
| Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more? | Manifold | 57% | +1.9 pts | 37 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.