Event · resolves around 2026-10-25
Andrey Gyurov — election · Oct 2026
3 related contracts across Polymarket · $232K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | Polymarket | 7% | -4.5 pts | 8 | Likely noise |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | Polymarket | 11% | -6.2 pts | 35 | Likely noise |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | Polymarket | 7% | -0.5 pts | 16 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.