ProbCast
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?46%▲12.5SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?97%▲27.1SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?1%▼28.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?56%▲13.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?49%▲16.5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?20%▲5.9US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?50%▲14.0SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?99%▲15.9SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?44%▼15.5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?46%▲15.5Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?11%▲2.5SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?1%▼5.9US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?73%▲8.5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?63%▲13.0Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?99%▲21.9US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?14%▼2.7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?46%▲12.5SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?97%▲27.1SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?1%▼28.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?56%▲13.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?49%▲16.5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?20%▲5.9US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?50%▲14.0SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?99%▲15.9SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?44%▼15.5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?46%▲15.5Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?11%▲2.5SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?1%▼5.9US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?73%▲8.5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?63%▲13.0Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?99%▲21.9US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?14%▼2.7

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