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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?5%▼30.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?45%▼21.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▲11.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?84%▲10.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?19%▼17.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?60%▲13.0Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?13%▲5.5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?40%▼25.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?90%▲8.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?12%▲6.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?17%▲8.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?9%▼11.0Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?17%▼47.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?38%▲5.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?36%▼1.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?77%▲7.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?5%▼30.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?45%▼21.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▲11.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?84%▲10.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?19%▼17.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?60%▲13.0Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?13%▲5.5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?40%▼25.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?90%▲8.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?12%▲6.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?17%▲8.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?9%▼11.0Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?17%▼47.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?38%▲5.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?36%▼1.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?77%▲7.7

Event · resolves around 2026-06-16

Gentner Drummond — election · Jun 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $456.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PolymarketPolitics0%-46.9 pts$257.3K790Likely noise
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PolymarketPolitics100%+16.6 pts$199.5K8114Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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