Event · resolves around 2028-12-31
SpaceX — event · Dec 2028
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ? | Manifold | 37% | -12.8 pts | 1 | Likely noise |
| Will Injustice 3 release before the end of 2028? | Manifold | 55% | +4.8 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.