Event · resolves around 2026-12-25
CA Prop — event · Dec 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will CA Prop 39 pass? | Manifold | 30% | 0.0 pts | 38 | Developing |
| If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? | Manifold | 60% | 0.0 pts | 38 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.