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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲40.5 Spain leading at halftime?100%▲43.5 United States leading at halftime?100%▲44.5 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?0%▼5.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?90%▲10.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?10%▼8.6 Senegal leading at halftime?100%▲25.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?100%▲17.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?7%▼6.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?100%▲0.0 Germany leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?0%▼10.4 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?0%▲0.0 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12%▼1.0 DR Congo leading at halftime?100%▲0.0 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲40.5 Spain leading at halftime?100%▲43.5 United States leading at halftime?100%▲44.5 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?0%▼5.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?90%▲10.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?10%▼8.6 Senegal leading at halftime?100%▲25.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?100%▲17.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?7%▼6.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?100%▲0.0 Germany leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?0%▼10.4 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?0%▲0.0 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12%▼1.0 DR Congo leading at halftime?100%▲0.0

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Hot Markets

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲40.5 Spain leading at halftime?100%▲43.5 United States leading at halftime?100%▲44.5 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?0%▼5.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?90%▲10.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?10%▼8.6 Senegal leading at halftime?100%▲25.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?100%▲17.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?7%▼6.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?100%▲0.0 Germany leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?0%▼10.4 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?0%▲0.0 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12%▼1.0 DR Congo leading at halftime?100%▲0.0 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?100%▲40.5 Spain leading at halftime?100%▲43.5 United States leading at halftime?100%▲44.5 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?0%▼5.6 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?90%▲10.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?10%▼8.6 Senegal leading at halftime?100%▲25.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?100%▲17.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?7%▼6.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?100%▲0.0 Germany leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?0%▼10.4 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?0%▲0.0 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12%▼1.0 DR Congo leading at halftime?100%▲0.0

Event · resolves around 2026-07-31

Trump — event · Jul 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $1.2M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?	Polymarket	Geopolitics	100%	0.0 pts	$872.4K	81	72	Worth watching
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Polymarket	Geopolitics	100%	0.0 pts	$334K	77	69	Worth watching

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