Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?53%8.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?46%8.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?58%16.5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?27%26.5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?13%17.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?33%3.0Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?82%4.1Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?100%62.3Opus 5.2 released in September?43%29.6US recession by end of 2026?11%3.0Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?20%11.0Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?2%3.6Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?10%5.0Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?43%1.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?22%2.0Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC63%17.9
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
100.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
100.0%
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
pythdata.app

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 8:31 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 16, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
45d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Resolution source: pythdata.app

Market data

24h volume

$101.3K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$144.9K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Aug 31, 2026
Resolution
pythdata.app

Related markets