Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?91%32.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?23%3.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?43%4.6US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?13%3.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?36%3.5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?18%15.0Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?22%12.1Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?75%9.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?51%17.1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?18%6.5Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?98%10.1Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?79%5.0Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?36%8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?87%5.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?14%2.0Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?6%7.8
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 44d ago

Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?

Final price
0.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Final market price
0.0%
Event deadline
September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
0.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
0.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Market data as of
August 8, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 22, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
44d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Market data

24h volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$168K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.0%
Best ask
0.1%
Resolves
Sep 1, 2026

Related markets