Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?20%16.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?81%17.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?82%19.0Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?74%9.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?8%1.3Fed rate hike in 2026?88%8.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?53%3.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?96%8.6Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?26%0.5Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?69%20.0S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?96%23.5Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?33%5.5Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?63%17.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?64%8.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?18%1.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20%3.0
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 44d ago

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?

Final price
0.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.

Final market price
0.1%
Event deadline
July 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.

Market data as of
July 28, 2026 at 10:53 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 11, 2026 at 9:42 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
July 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
44d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market data

24h volume

$66.1K

Liquidity

$27.1K

Total volume

$92K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
Resolves
Jul 28, 2026

Related markets