Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?72%26.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?100%16.0Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?45%29.0Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?56%29.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?71%49.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?97%9.4Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?20%19.0Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?5%18.3Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?38%15.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?56%12.0Opus 5.2 released in September?46%21.1Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?85%12.5Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?14%9.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?99%6.1SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026?88%40.6Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?48%5.0
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
August 2, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
August 3, 2026 at 11:08 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 18, 2026 at 7:02 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 2, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
45d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Market data

24h volume

$300.9K

Liquidity

$143.5K

Total volume

$436.8K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Aug 2, 2026

Related markets