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Currently 41% YES, up 2.7 pts over 24h — ProbCast reads this as a meaningful, liquidity-backed move (Trust 58/100).
Moved up 2.7 pts over 24h — reads as a meaningful repricing.
Near resolution or with ambiguous wording, pricing is mechanically thin and can swing on tiny trades. Read end-of-life prices with extra caution.
Read the latest price with caution; conditions make it an unreliable summary right now.
Short-term motion of the price line (~1h), distinct from the environment above — not a prediction of the final outcome.
Secondary read: leaning toward News Repricing.
A read-only classification of the market environment — how much weight the current price deserves as a read of consensus. It describes conditions, never a trade.
Only Polymarket has this matched event in the current feed
EXPIRING_SOONExpiring SoonDepth of the order book and volume
Mixed support. Interpret with some caution. Main caveat: expiring soon.
Low resolution risk, driven mainly by no resolution source.
How clear the contract wording is — separate from whether the price is trustworthy.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.