PolymarketGeopoliticsUpdated 3h ago

Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyPolymarket

Source: Polymarket price history

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
100.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
October 11, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 11, 2026 at 4:33 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
3h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline cancellations, or reports that the airport is closed, suspended, or restricted will not qualify on their own if FlightAware displays departures. A qualifying period may begin as late as the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, and end after it. If a period without departures has begun but has not reached 24 consecutive hours by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until either a flight departs RUH or 24 consecutive hours have elapsed. A qualifying closure counts regardless of its cause. The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).

Market data

24h volume

$36.8K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$44.2K

Category
Geopolitics
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
1.7 pts
Best bid
98.1%
Best ask
99.8%
Resolves
Oct 15, 2026

Related markets