Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Final market price
- 0.0%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2027 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 14, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 25, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2027 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 72d ago
What this market actually measures
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).