PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

Final price
0.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.

Final market price
0.1%
Event deadline
August 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
x.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.

Market data as of
August 14, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 28, 2026 at 8:14 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
45d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: x.com

Market data

24h volume

$44.2K

Liquidity

$77.9K

Total volume

$225K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
Resolves
Aug 14, 2026
Resolution
x.com

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