Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
Source: Polymarket price history
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- October 24, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 20, 2026 at 12:50 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- October 24, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 1d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.