Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Final market price
- 0.0%
- Event deadline
- October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 16, 2026 at 4:17 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 31, 2026 at 5:47 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 45d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.