PolymarketAI / TechUpdated 46d ago

Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyPolymarket

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
100.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
100.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
August 26, 2026 at 6:53 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 11, 2026 at 5:32 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
46d ago

What this market actually measures

Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation. This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation. This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements. A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks. If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”. If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market data

24h volume

$485.9K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$550.1K

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026

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