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Currently 0% YES, down 19.9 pts over 24h — ProbCast reads this as a noisy move on weak liquidity — treat with caution (Trust 25/100).
Moved down 19.9 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
The price is actively repricing on real volume. The number is still moving — don't treat the latest print as settled consensus yet.
Read the latest price with caution; conditions make it an unreliable summary right now.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between MIBR and 9z in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 5 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Short-term motion of the price line (~1h), distinct from the environment above — not a prediction of the final outcome.
Secondary read: leaning toward One big trader.
A read-only classification of the market environment — how much weight the current price deserves as a read of consensus. It describes conditions, never a trade.
STALE_PRICEStale priceFAST_MOVEMoving fastLOW_TRUST_MOVEBig move, weak backingMagnitude of recent probability change
Depth of the order book and volume
Mixed support. Interpret with some caution. Main caveat: limited history.
Low resolution risk: clear source, threshold, and deadline leave little room for ambiguity.
How clear the contract wording is — separate from whether the price is trustworthy.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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