Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?100%43.5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?62%27.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?42%45.4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?15%6.5Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?0%0.4Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%0.1Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?0%0.7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%0.1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%0.0Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?100%43.5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?62%27.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?42%45.4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?15%6.5Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?0%0.4Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%0.1Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?0%0.7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%0.1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%0.0

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