Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Final market price
- 0.0%
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- binance.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 1, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 16, 2026 at 4:57 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 45d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:0…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com