ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 35d ago
Will Zvi agree that Kimi K3 is better than Opus 4.8 for at least some (non-trivial) use-cases?
Final price
49.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.1%.
- Final market price
- 49.1%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 1:11 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Zvi agree that Kimi K3 is better than Opus 4.8 for at least some (non-trivial) use-cases? The final Manifold price was 49.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 1, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 1:11 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 35d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ76
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ760.6
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 49.1%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
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