Will we get AGI before 2035?

The probability increased by 6.5 percentage points over the last 24 hours. ProbCast reads this as a developing move — real, but not yet decisively backed.

• ·Trading volume and book liquidity are low, so small orders can move the price.
• ·The move is real but not yet backed by enough activity to call it decisive.

Resolution

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience. Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2035 Here are markets with the same criteria: @/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd (this question) @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048 Related markets: @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2027 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 Other questions for 2035: @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-manned-mission-to-v @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-3fcd58236f90 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-j-89a5bfdee8ca @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-s-2a28875c1c26 @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-u-0a7d585d5f97 @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-1c5b2e348e1d @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-p-a35e6823fbba @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-46410d8053fa@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-ab3eca7983aa @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ece7abf70bde @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-lunar-163b9107ef15 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-cc226795c047 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-285b5811deab Other points of reference for AGI: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-1m-humanoid (Identical market to: source market)