Will Vermont Proposal 3 (right to collectively bargain) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Vermont Proposal 3 (Proposal 3: Article 23 of Chapter I [Right to collectively bargain]) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Majority of votes cast on the proposal (Vt. Const. ch. II, sec. 72) Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: Adds Ch. I Art. 23 guaranteeing the right to collectively bargain over wages, hours and working conditions; no law may diminish it or bar membership-required union agreements. NO: Vermont Constitution unchanged. Results: resolves on the result certified by Vermont Secretary of State / state canvassing committee. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://governor.vermont.gov/sites/scott/files/documents/Proclamation%203%20Collective%20Bargaining.pdf