Will Union Berlin defeat Schalke 04 ?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Union Berlin defeat Schalke 04 ? The final Manifold price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 14, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:38 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if 1. FC Union Berlin defeats FC Schalke 04 in their Bundesliga Matchday 3 fixture scheduled for September 11, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if 1. FC Union Berlin defeats FC Schalke 04 in their Bundesliga Matchday 3 fixture scheduled for September 11, 2026. This market resolves to NO if FC Schalke 04 wins the match or if the match ends in a draw. Resolution Source: The outcome will be determined by the official match result as reported by the Bundesliga Official Website or Flashscore. Postponements: If the match is postponed or abandoned and not fully completed by September 18, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A. Background Union Berlin and newly promoted Schalke 04 face off at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei on September 11, 2026. Both teams are searching for their first league victory of the 2026/27 campaign, having each earned only one point from their opening two fixtures. Union Berlin has shown early defensive vulnerability, conceding seven goals in their first two matches. Meanwhile, Schalke 04 has demonstrated defensive resilience—notably holding Bayern Munich to a scoreless draw—but has struggled to establish an attacking threat, entering the matchday without scoring a league goal. Historically, matchups between these sides have been tightly contested, with four of their last six meetings ending in a draw. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.