Will Trump go a day in June without insulting someone?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 99.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 99.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump go a day in June without insulting someone? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 10, 2026 at 6:04 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 132d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to Yes if at least one of the daily Trump insult markets on Polymarket for the month of June resolves to No. Otherwise, it will resolve to Yes.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to Yes if at least one of the daily Trump insult markets on Polymarket for the month of June resolves to No. Otherwise, it will resolve to Yes. Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? [link preview]