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ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 86d ago

Will Trump go a day in June without insulting someone?

Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Final market price
99.0%
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
99.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
99.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Trump go a day in June without insulting someone? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Market data as of
June 10, 2026 at 6:04 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
86d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to Yes if at least one of the daily Trump insult markets on Polymarket for the month of June resolves to No. Otherwise, it will resolve to Yes.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to Yes if at least one of the daily Trump insult markets on Polymarket for the month of June resolves to No. Otherwise, it will resolve to Yes. Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? [link preview]

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ972.7

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ1.1K

Category
Politics
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
99.0%
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026

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