ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 43d ago
Will Trump announce that Jon Ossof and Raphael Warnock are illegitimate Senators by the end of the week?
Final price
46.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.0%.
- Final market price
- 46.0%
- Event deadline
- July 20, 2026 at 2:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump announce that Jon Ossof and Raphael Warnock are illegitimate Senators by the end of the week? The final Manifold price was 46.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 23, 2026 at 8:35 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 20, 2026 at 2:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ316
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ668
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 46.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 20, 2026
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