Will trump announce a new US strike on Iran before August 10?
Final price
14.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.3%.
- Final market price
- 14.3%
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will trump announce a new US strike on Iran before August 10? The final Manifold price was 14.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 12, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 69d ago
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