Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 3, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:38 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 17d ago
What this market actually measures
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/trump-says-expects-host-china-162138604.html General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/trump-says-expects-host-china-162138604.html General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.