Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.
- Final market price
- 50.7%
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend? The final Manifold price was 50.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.
- Market data as of
- June 26, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 117d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.