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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 71d ago

Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend?

Final price
50.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.

Final market price
50.7%
Event deadline
June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend? The final Manifold price was 50.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.

Market data as of
June 26, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
71d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ126.5

Liquidity

Ṁ1K

Total volume

Ṁ450.2

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
50.7%
Resolves
Jun 22, 2026

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