Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.
- Final market price
- 50.7%
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend? The final Manifold price was 50.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.7%.
- Market data as of
- June 26, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 71d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if Box Office Mojo reports a Domestic Opening Weekend Gross of $162,500,000 or higher for the June 19-21, 2026 frame. Resolves NO otherwise.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ126.5
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ450.2
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 50.7%
- Resolves
- Jun 22, 2026