Will this resolves to Yes or No
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.4%.
- Final market price
- 55.4%
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will this resolves to Yes or No The final Manifold price was 55.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.4%.
- Market data as of
- June 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 79d ago
What this market actually measures
If >50% then YES If <50% then NO If =50% then N/A This is a partially (not fully) earn free mana market This market will close after 2 days (16 June) 2:30 IST
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
If >50% then YES If <50% then NO If =50% then N/A This is a partially (not fully) earn free mana market This market will close after 2 days (16 June) 2:30 IST
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ227.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ465.5
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 55.4%
- Resolves
- Jun 16, 2026