Will this market get 20-30 unique traders by June 29?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 42.6%.
- Final market price
- 42.6%
- Event deadline
- June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will this market get 20-30 unique traders by June 29? The final Manifold price was 42.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 42.6%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 66d ago
What this market actually measures
Between 20 and 30 inclusive. If the number of 31 or more unique traders is reached, the marker will resolve as NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Between 20 and 30 inclusive. If the number of 31 or more unique traders is reached, the marker will resolve as NO. Update 2026-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the unique traders number shown on the market at close, not an independently calculated count of holders plus non-holding traders.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ991.6
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ5.7K
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 42.6%
- Resolves
- Jun 28, 2026