Will this market finish with at least 20 unique traders? (Market closes at 1200 EDT, August 17, 2026)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will this market finish with at least 20 unique traders? (Market closes at 1200 EDT, August 17, 2026) The final Manifold price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if, at the time of market close, the number of unique traders who have placed at least one bet on this market is 20 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if, at the time of market close, the number of unique traders who have placed at least one bet on this market is 20 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. The unique trader count will be verified using the official trader count displayed on this market's page. Background This is a self-referential meta-market tracking participation. On Manifold, "traders" represent the number of unique user accounts that have active or closed positions in the market. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if, at the time of market close (12:00 PM EST on August 17, 2026), the number of unique traders who have placed at least one bet on this market is 25 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. The unique trader count will be verified using the official trader count displayed publicly on this market's page. Background This is a self-referential meta-market tracking its own participation. On Manifold, "traders" represents the number of unique user accounts that have active or closed positions in the market. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.