Market prices an 88.9% chance of “Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026” — little changed over 24 hours

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (also known as CO-OPS Station 9410170, San Diego, CA) is officially recorded at 72.7°F or higher at any point from market creation until August 27, 2026 (00:00 UTC). If the water temperature does not reach 72.7°F during this timeframe, the market resolves to NO. The official sources of truth for this market are: NOAA Tides & Currents - Physical Oceanography for San Diego (9410170) National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) - Station SDBC1 Real-Time Data If the temperature is reported in Celsius, a reading of 22.61°C or higher will trigger a YES resolution, as it is equivalent to 72.7°F. If the station experiences temporary outages, the market will remain open until historical quality-controlled data covering the timeframe is published on the NDBC Station SDBC1 Historical Data Page. If the station is permanently decommissioned or fails to report any water temperature data for the entire duration of the market, the market will resolve to N/A. Background Station SDBC1 is an oceanographic monitoring station situated at the Broadway Pier in San Diego, CA (32.714 N, 117.174 W), maintained by NOAA's National Ocean Service. Water temperatures in San Diego generally peak in August, heavily influenced by regional wind patterns, upwelling, and broader climate phenomena like marine heatwaves. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.